Economic forecasting is the process of making predictions about the economy. Forecasts can be made at a high level of aggregation—for example, for GDP, inflation, unemployment, or the fiscal deficit. They can also be made at a more disaggregated level, targeting specific economic sectors or even individual firms. This practice is a fundamental part of economic analysis, providing a measure of a potential investment's future prospects and helping shape policy decisions.Many institutions engage in economic forecasting: national governments, banks and central banks, consultants and private sector entities such as think-tanks, and companies or international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and the OECD. A broad range of forecasts are collected and compiled by "Consensus Economics". Some forecasts are produced annually, but many are updated more frequently.
The economist typically considers risks (i.e., events or conditions that can cause the result to vary from their initial estimates). These risks help illustrate the reasoning process used in arriving at the final forecast numbers. Economists typically use commentary along with data visualization tools such as tables and charts to communicate their forecast. In preparing economic forecasts a variety of information has been used in an attempt to increase the accuracy.
